The negotiations will fail (FUTURUS, August, 2017)
Should the UK stay in the EEA? (FUTURUS, November 2016) The decision to remain in the EEA is quite different from a decision to join the EEA. The slogans 'any trade is good trade' and 'all trade is of equal value' are wrong.
Why we needed to vote to leave the EU and what will now happen (FUTURUS, November 2016) 133 Vice Chancellors out of 133 supported 'Remain'. This is a simple analysis prepared for an Oxford University magazine, that states that "the referendum is about 'who governs' and not about business or sectional interests."
No, we are not behind the Mischcon de Reya legal bid (FUTURUS, July 2016, updated November 2016) The new government had ample warning of its potential legal problem and could have passed a short bill or motion through Parliament in July along the lines of 'Parliament should take note of the result of the referendum that Parliament called, the government should take all necessary steps to implement the result and it should notify the EU of its intention to so do.'
It's Just Obvious (FUTURUS, October 2016) A list of the major events of the last 25 years which were 'just obvious'.
Leaving the EU (FUTURUS, September 2016) The poll by Lord Ashcroft showed that 63% of those voting 'Leave' wanted a return to self-government. It is, therefore, necessary to leave the political, judicial and monetary structure of the EU. This paper shows how to do it for maximum political advantage and to achieve a safe and beneficial departure.
Nostradamus (FUTURUS, July 2016) In March 2016, the attached paper outlined our forecast of the referendum result. "I am calling the result of the referendum now - a win for 'Leave' by about ten points." It is quite evident that the official campaigns were irrelevant and that most voters had made up their minds early and opinion then solidified.
European Union: The Choices (Campaign for an Independent Britain Referendum Leaflet, April 2016) A widely distributed leaflet listing, side-by-side, the choices between the 'Remain' plan and the 'Leave' exit plan. Once read, the usual popular reaction was 'There is no choice. It's obvious which way to vote.'
EU: The Rival Plans (Campaign for an Independent Britain, Referendum Leaflet, March 2016) A full statement for the Campaign for an Independent Britain showing the Leave aim, the Leave plan and the Leave timetable, together with a comparison of the rival plans of David Cameron and The Leave Alliance.
6 Wrong Statements (Campaign for an Independent Britain, Referendum Leaflet, March 2016) A demolition of the main misconceptions of the 'Remain' campaign.
Will it be a fudged referendum? (FUTURUS, February 2016) This referendum is an opportunity to correct what Margaret Thatcher called "a political error of historic magnitude". The pro-EU forces will try and fudge the referendum, by confusing membership of the Single Market with EU membership and trying to frighten the electorate by falsely stating that there is risk in leaving the EU and no risk in staying in the EU.
UK membership of the EU. The threat to the UK balance sheet (FUTURUS, February 2016) Countries do not become insolvent because of trading arrangements. Destabilisation in the Balance Sheet assets and liabilities is the usual cause of insolvency throughout history and leads to revolution. The effect of EU membership on the UK finances, both in assets and liabilities, is similar to the costs of a medium-sized war.
Referendum Dates (FUTURUS, February 2016) A discussion of the possible dates for the EU referendum.
European Union: The Rival Plans (FUTURUS, February 2016) A side-by-side comparison of the Cameron plans and the plans of the Leave Alliance.
The Critical Path out of the EU (FUTURUS, 19 December 2015) This paper analyses the critical path to leave the EU. It concentrates on two areas. These are winning a referendum and organising an effective and beneficial departure. These require a clear aim and a clear plan, taking account of existing legal agreements and political realities.
The End of EU Budget Contributions (A massive reduction in the UK's contribution to the EU budget) (FUTURUS, November 2015) Along with overseas aid and the NHS, the government has allowed EU budget contributions to be 'protected', not subject to the austerity the rest of the economy has to face. Norway pays nothing to the EU general budget, contrary to the assertions of David Cameron.
The EU referendum, what next? (Eurofacts, 13 November 2015, Vol.21,No.3,pp.1-2) This article explains that winning a 'leave' referendum is only a step on the way. It does not mean the UK automatically leaves the EU, nor does it define the post-exit relationship the UK would have with the EU.
The EU Referendum: R-Day plus 1 and R-Day plus 100, (FUTURUS, October 2015) A call for the Leave campaign to have clarity of strategy and clarity of plan which would be the yardstick by which the government's actions would be judged.
Mistaken Assumptions of the EU Referendum Battle (Sept. 2015, also published in Eurofacts, 24 July 2015, Vol.20,No.11/12,p.4) A leaflet produced by The Campaign for an Independent Britain highlighting some of the mistaken assumptions of the political class and the media about the EU referendum battle.
A Fudged Referendum (Sept. 2015) This referendum is an opportunity to correct what Margaret Thatcher called "a political error of historic magnitude". The pro-EU forces will try and fudge the referendum, by confusing membership of the Single Market with EU membership and trying to frighten the electorate by falsely stating that there is risk in leaving the EU and no risk in staying in the EU.
UK Membership of the EU - Trading Arrangements are not so Important as the UK's Financial Weakness incurred by EU Membership (Aug. 2015) Countries do not become insolvent because of trading arrangements. Destabilisation in the Balance Sheet assets and liabilities is the usual cause of insolvency throughout history and leads to revolution. The affect of EU membership on the UK finances, both in assets and liabilities, is similar to the costs of a medium-sized war.
Why Leaving the EU is Necessary and, in the Long Run, Inevitable (Aug. 2015) The final aim of EU integration is an EU state, modelled on the unification of Germany in the nineteenth century. On the continent it has always been openly proclaimed that the purpose of the EU was political integration and economic links were simply a means to that end.
What is our Aim and what is our Plan? (July 2015) Our aim is to leave the political, judicial and monetary structures of the EU. In our plan, entitled 'Flexcit', the UK would stay in the Single Market by way of the EEA and EFTA. Ultimately, the long-term aim would be to change the UK's relationship with the EU to 'joint membership of a European free trade area'.
Reducing UK Risk Exposure to the EU and the Euro (May 2015) While EEA states, such as Norway and Iceland, have no risk exposure, the UK has enormous and often ill-defined exposure. At present there is complacency in the City and big business about UK risk exposure. This could turn into panic very quickly.